Red Sox vs Rays Prediction and MLB Tips - 14 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 13, 2025, 1:35PM | Published: Jul 12, 2025, 7:30PM
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action at Fenway Park on Monday, commencing at 3:35am AEST.
Brayan Bello (5-3, 3.27 ERA) will start on the mound for the Red Sox, pitting him against Ryan Pepiot (6-6, 3.32 ERA) for the Rays.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Red Sox vs Rays game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Boston vs Tampa Bay MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Red Sox a 52% chance of defeating the Rays at Fenway Park.
Red Sox vs Rays: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Fenway Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Red Sox $1.83, Rays $2.00
- Line: Red Sox -1.5 ($2.60), Rays +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Red Sox at $1.83 and the Rays at $2.00.
The Red Sox are 1.5-run favourites against the Rays, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Rays (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Rays (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Red Sox vs Rays: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Rays +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Red Sox vs Rays predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Red Sox have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Rays to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Red Sox vs Rays: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Boston vs Tampa Bay game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Boston vs Tampa Bay match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Red Sox vs Rays: Essential Details
The match-up between the Red Sox and Rays at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 3:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Monday 14 July 2025
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: Fenway Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Boston vs Tampa Bay predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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