Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 1 September 2025
Last updated: Aug 31, 2025, 5:33PM | Published: Aug 30, 2025, 8:32PM
The Boston Red Sox will face the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Fenway Park on Monday, starting at 3:35am AEST.
Lucas Giolito (9-2, 3.47 ERA) will start on the mound for the Red Sox, while the Pirates will counter with Mitch Keller (6-12, 4.35 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Red Sox vs Pirates game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Boston vs Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Red Sox a 61% chance of defeating the Pirates at Fenway Park.
Red Sox vs Pirates: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Fenway Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Red Sox $1.56, Pirates $2.50
- Line: Red Sox -1.5 ($2.20), Pirates +1.5 ($1.72)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Red Sox at $1.56 and the Pirates at $2.50.
The Red Sox are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.20 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.72.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Red Sox vs Pirates: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.50 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.72 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Red Sox vs Pirates best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Red Sox have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Red Sox vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Boston vs Pittsburgh game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Boston vs Pittsburgh match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Red Sox vs Pirates: Essential Details
The game between the Red Sox and Pirates at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 3:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Monday 1 September 2025
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: Fenway Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Boston vs Pittsburgh predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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