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Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 May 2024

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Fenway Park on Saturday, commencing at 9:10am AEST.

The Red Sox will have Tanner Houck (3-3, 1.98 ERA) start, while the Nationals are going with Patrick Corbin (0-3, 6.45 ERA).

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Red Sox vs Nationals game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Red Sox vs Nationals

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Boston-Washington MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Red Sox a 61% chance of defeating the Nationals at Fenway Park.

More: Red Sox vs Nationals Simulated 10,000 Times

Red Sox vs Nationals: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Fenway Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Red Sox $1.46, Nationals $2.32
  • Line: Red Sox -1.5 ($2.01), Nationals +1.5 ($1.81)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Red Sox at $1.46 and the Nationals at $2.32.

The Red Sox are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Nationals, with odds of $2.01 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.81.

The Over/Under for Red Sox vs Nationals is set at 8.8 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8.8 runs has a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Red Sox vs Nationals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Washington at $2.32 with (0.5% edge)
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 at $1.81 with TAB (55% probability)
  • Total Runs: Over 8.8 at $1.91 with TAB (51% probability)

Our Red Sox vs Nationals best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Red Sox have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Red Sox vs Nationals: Prediction

Stats Insider has full coverage of Boston vs Washington on Saturday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Boston vs Washington match-up at Fenway Park.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Red Sox vs Nationals: Preview

The match-up between the Red Sox and Nationals at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.

Our Boston vs Washington predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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