Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 16 August 2025
Last updated: Aug 15, 2025, 11:13PM | Published: Aug 14, 2025, 9:34PM
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Fenway Park on Saturday, starting at 9:10am AEST.
The Red Sox will send Lucas Giolito (8-2, 3.77 ERA) to the mound, while the Marlins are going with Sandy Alcantara (6-11, 6.54 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Red Sox vs Marlins game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Boston vs Miami MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Red Sox a 61% chance of beating the Marlins at Fenway Park.
Red Sox vs Marlins: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Fenway Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Red Sox $1.61, Marlins $2.40
- Line: Red Sox -1.5 ($2.25), Marlins +1.5 ($1.67)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Red Sox at $1.61 and the Marlins at $2.40.
The Red Sox are 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $2.25 available at TAB.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.67.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Marlins (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Red Sox vs Marlins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Boston at $1.61 with TAB
- Line: Marlins +1.5 at $1.67 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Red Sox vs Marlins predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Red Sox vs Marlins: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Boston vs Miami game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Boston vs Miami match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Red Sox vs Marlins: Essential Details
The match-up between the Red Sox and Marlins at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 9:10am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Saturday 16 August 2025
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Fenway Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Boston vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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