Red Sox vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 4 August 2025
Last updated: Aug 3, 2025, 3:35PM | Published: Aug 2, 2025, 7:30PM
The Boston Red Sox will face the Houston Astros in MLB action at Fenway Park on Monday, starting at 1:35am AEST.
The Red Sox will send Lucas Giolito (7-2, 3.80 ERA) to the mound, while the Astros are going with Framber Valdez (11-4, 2.62 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Red Sox vs Astros game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Boston vs Houston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Astros a 56% chance of defeating the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
Red Sox vs Astros: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Fenway Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Red Sox $2.10, Astros $1.77
- Line: Red Sox +1.5 ($1.67), Astros -1.5 ($2.25)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Red Sox at $2.10 and the Astros at $1.77.
The Red Sox are 1.5-run underdogs against the Astros, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.
For the favourite Astros (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Red Sox vs Astros: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Houston at $1.77 with TAB
- Line: Astros -1.5 at $2.25 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Red Sox vs Astros predictions are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Although the Red Sox are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Astros -1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Red Sox vs Astros: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Boston vs Houston game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Boston vs Houston match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Red Sox vs Astros: Essential Details
The match-up between the Red Sox and Astros at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 1:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
- Date: Monday 4 August 2025
- Time: 1:35am AEST
- Venue: Fenway Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Boston vs Houston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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