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Ravens vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2025

The Baltimore Ravens will sqaure off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 16 action at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday, beginning at 12:20pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Ravens vs Patriots game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Baltimore vs New England NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Ravens a 60% chance of winning against the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season.

Ravens vs Patriots: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at M&T Bank Stadium are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Ravens $1.45, Patriots $2.80
  • Line: Ravens -3.5 ($1.91), Patriots +3.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Ravens at $1.45 and the Patriots at $2.80.

The Ravens are 3.5-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Patriots (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 48 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Patriots (+3.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 48-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Ravens vs Patriots: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: New England at $2.80 with Bet365
  • Line: Patriots +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 48 at $1.91 with Bet365

If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.

These Ravens vs Patriots betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Ravens have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Patriots to win is our preferred option due to the 4.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Ravens vs Patriots: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Ravens vs Patriots at M&T Bank Stadium in Week 16 is the Ravens winning 25-22.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Baltimore vs New England game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Ravens vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs Patriots? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Baltimore's Derrick Henry is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Ravens vs Patriots.

Henry has a 14.7% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Ravens RB has a 62.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Ravens First TD Tips

  • Derrick Henry: 14.7% probability
  • Mark Andrews: 6.9% probability
  • Zay Flowers: 5.8% probability
  • Isaiah Likely: 4.4% probability
  • Rashod Bateman: 4.2% probability

Patriots First TD Tips

  • TreVeyon Henderson: 8.7% probability
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 5.7% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 5.3% probability
  • Drake Maye: 5.3% probability
  • Stefon Diggs: 5.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Ravens Anytime TD Tips

  • Derrick Henry: 62.6% probability
  • Mark Andrews: 36.8% probability
  • Zay Flowers: 32.0% probability
  • Isaiah Likely: 25.3% probability
  • Rashod Bateman: 24.3% probability

Patriots Anytime TD Tips

  • TreVeyon Henderson: 42.5% probability
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 30.3% probability
  • Hunter Henry: 28.8% probability
  • Drake Maye: 28.8% probability
  • Stefon Diggs: 27.6% probability

Ravens-Patriots Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 213 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 249 yards.

Ravens Starting QB

  • Lamar Jackson: 213 projected passing yards

Patriots Starting QB

  • Drake Maye: 249 projected passing yards

Ravens Rushing Yards

  • Derrick Henry: 79 projected yards
  • Lamar Jackson: 40 projected yards
  • Keaton Mitchell: 27 projected yards

Patriots Rushing Yards

  • TreVeyon Henderson: 51 projected yards
  • Rhamondre Stevenson: 30 projected yards
  • Drake Maye: 25 projected yards

Ravens Receiving Yards

  • Zay Flowers: 68 projected yards
  • Mark Andrews: 36 projected yards
  • Isaiah Likely: 30 projected yards
  • Rashod Bateman: 27 projected yards
  • DeAndre Hopkins: 19 projected yards

Patriots Receiving Yards

  • Stefon Diggs: 48 projected yards
  • Mack Hollins: 43 projected yards
  • Hunter Henry: 43 projected yards
  • Kayshon Boutte: 38 projected yards
  • DeMario Douglas: 21 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Baltimore vs New England match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Ravens vs Patriots: Week 16 Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Ravens and Patriots at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:20pm AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Baltimore vs New England predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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