Ravens vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL AFC Championship Game 2024
Last updated: Jan 27, 2024, 4:55PM | Published: Jan 22, 2024, 4:01AM
The Baltimore Ravens will play the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game of the NFL Playoffs at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday, commencing at 7:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Ravens vs Chiefs game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Ravens vs Chiefs
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Baltimore-Kansas City NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Ravens a 66% chance of winning against the Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium.
More: Ravens vs Chiefs Match Centre
Ravens vs Chiefs: Odds
The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at M&T Bank Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Ravens $1.53, Chiefs $2.84
- Line: Ravens -3.5 ($1.87), Chiefs +3.5 ($2.12)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.93
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Ravens at $1.53 and the Chiefs at $2.84.
The Ravens are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.87 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Chiefs (+3.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.12.
The Over/Under for Ravens vs Chiefs sits at 44.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.93.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Ravens (-3.5) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the 44.5-point Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
The best site to place a bet on the Ravens vs Chiefs game is Betfair, where you can wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.
More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds
Ravens vs Chiefs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Baltimore at $1.53 with Betfair (66% probability)
- Line: Chiefs +3.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (0.2% edge)
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.93 with Betfair (56% probability)
Although the Ravens are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Chiefs +3.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
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Ravens vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Ravens vs Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday has the Ravens prevailing 23-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Baltimore vs Kansas City on Monday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Ravens vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Ravens vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Ravens vs Chiefs.
Pacheco has a 10.7% chance of scoring the first TD at M&T Bank Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 44.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Ravens First TD Tips
- Lamar Jackson: 9.9% probability
- Gus Edwards: 8.5% probability
- Zay Flowers: 6.3% probability
- Justice Hill: 6.1% probability
- Mark Andrews: 5.9% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 10.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 8.9% probability
- Rashee Rice: 7.7% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.6% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Ravens Anytime TD Tips
- Lamar Jackson: 40.7% probability
- Gus Edwards: 37.1% probability
- Zay Flowers: 28.5% probability
- Justice Hill: 27.2% probability
- Mark Andrews: 26.7% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Isiah Pacheco: 44.0% probability
- Travis Kelce: 38.7% probability
- Rashee Rice: 35.6% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 21.5% probability
- Mecole Hardman: 16.9% probability
Ravens-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 244 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 228 yards.
Ravens Starting QB
- Lamar Jackson: 244 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 228 projected passing yards
Ravens Rushing Yards
- Lamar Jackson: 59 projected yards
- Gus Edwards: 47 projected yards
- Justice Hill: 39 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco: 75 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 21 projected yards
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 11 projected yards
Ravens Receiving Yards
- Zay Flowers: 51 projected yards
- Mark Andrews: 36 projected yards
- Rashod Bateman: 33 projected yards
- Nelson Agholor: 27 projected yards
- Odell Beckham: 23 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 67 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 59 projected yards
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 24 projected yards
- Justin Watson: 20 projected yards
- Mecole Hardman: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Baltimore vs Kansas City game at M&T Bank Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Ravens vs Chiefs: Preview
The match-up between the Ravens and Chiefs at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Playoff Round: NFL AFC Championship
- Date: Monday 29 January 2024
- Time: 7:00am AEDT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
Our Baltimore vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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