Raiders vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2025
Last updated: Jul 27, 2025, 4:00AM | Published: Jul 20, 2025, 11:30PM
The Raiders will take on the Knights in NRL Round 21 action at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, commencing at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Raiders vs Knights game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Canberra vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Raiders an 81% chance of winning against the Knights in Round 21 of the 2025 NRL season.
Raiders vs Knights: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at GIO Stadium Canberra are listed below:
- Head to Head: Raiders $1.14, Knights $6.00
- Line: Raiders -15.5 ($1.91), Knights +15.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $1.14 and the Knights at $6.00.
The Raiders are listed as 15.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Knights (+15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Knights (+15.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Raiders vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $6.00 with Bet365
- Line: Knights +15.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Raiders vs Knights predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Raiders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our recommended option due to the 2.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Raiders vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Knights at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday is the Raiders winning 30-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Raiders vs Knights match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Knights: Try Scorers
Searching for Raiders vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Raiders' Xavier Savage is the most likely player to score the first try in Canberra vs Newcastle.
Savage has a 9.3% chance of scoring the first try at GIO Stadium Canberra, while the Raiders star has a 51.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 9.3% probability
- Hudson Young: 8.6% probability
- Jed Stuart: 8.1% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 5.8% probability
- Simi Sasagi: 5.7% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 7.6% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 4.5% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 3.8% probability
- Kyle McCarthy: 3.2% probability
- Dane Gagai: 3.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 51.0% probability
- Hudson Young: 47.2% probability
- Jed Stuart: 45.5% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 35.8% probability
- Simi Sasagi: 33.3% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 41.9% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 29.2% probability
- Fletcher Hunt: 24.6% probability
- Dane Gagai: 23.7% probability
- Kyle McCarthy: 21.9% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Raiders vs Knights match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Raiders and Knights at GIO Stadium Canberra is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday 27 July 2025
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: GIO Stadium Canberra
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Raiders vs Knights predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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