Raiders vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 21, 2026, 9:50AM | Published: May 18, 2026, 2:05AM
The Raiders will sqaure off with the Dolphins in NRL Round 12 action at GIO Stadium Canberra on Thursday, starting at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Raiders vs Dolphins game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Canberra vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 54% chance of defeating the Dolphins at GIO Stadium Canberra.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at GIO Stadium Canberra are listed below:
- Head to Head: Raiders $1.64, Dolphins $2.20
- Line: Raiders -2.5 ($1.91), Dolphins +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $1.64 and the Dolphins at $2.20.
The Raiders are 2.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $2.20 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Raiders vs Dolphins predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Raiders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Dolphins at GIO Stadium Canberra this Thursday is the Raiders prevailing 23-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Raiders vs Dolphins match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Dolphins: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Raiders vs Dolphins try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dolphins' Jamayne Isaako is the most likely player to score the first try in Canberra vs Dolphins.
Isaako has a 8.2% chance of scoring the first try at GIO Stadium Canberra, while the Dolphins star has a 47.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 8.2% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 7.0% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 6.6% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 5.0% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 4.8% probability
Dolphins
- Jamayne Isaako: 8.2% probability
- Tevita Naufahu: 7.5% probability
- Jack Bostock: 5.7% probability
- Trai Fuller: 4.8% probability
- Brian Pouniu: 4.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Xavier Savage: 48.2% probability
- Kaeo Weekes: 43.3% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 42.9% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 34.6% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 33.3% probability
Dolphins
- Jamayne Isaako: 47.1% probability
- Tevita Naufahu: 45.3% probability
- Jack Bostock: 39.0% probability
- Trai Fuller: 33.2% probability
- Brian Pouniu: 31.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Raiders vs Dolphins game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Round 12 clash between the Raiders and Dolphins at GIO Stadium Canberra is scheduled to start at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Canberra Raiders vs Dolphins
- Date: Thursday 21 May 2026
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: GIO Stadium Canberra
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Raiders vs Dolphins predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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