Raiders vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2026
Last updated: Sep 13, 2026, 8:22PM | Published: Aug 30, 2026, 8:25PM
The Las Vegas Raiders will take on the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 1 action at Allegiant Stadium on Monday, starting at 6:25am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Raiders vs Dolphins game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Las Vegas vs Miami NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Raiders a 58% chance of beating the Dolphins at Allegiant Stadium.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Allegiant Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Raiders $1.61, Dolphins $2.40
- Line: Raiders -3 ($1.91), Dolphins +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $1.61 and the Dolphins at $2.40.
The Raiders are listed as 3-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (+3) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 40.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 40.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Raiders vs Dolphins best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Raiders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Dolphins at Allegiant Stadium in Week 1 is the Raiders winning 21-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Las Vegas vs Miami game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs Dolphins? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs Dolphins.
Jeanty has a 15.3% chance of getting in for six first at Allegiant Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 50.0% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 15.3% probability
- Tre Tucker: 7.2% probability
- Michael Mayer: 5.8% probability
- Jalen Nailor: 5.7% probability
- Mike Washington: 5.6% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 13.0% probability
- Malik Willis: 6.4% probability
- Malik Washington: 4.6% probability
- Greg Dulcich: 3.8% probability
- Caleb Douglas: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 50.0% probability
- Tre Tucker: 28.0% probability
- Michael Mayer: 23.3% probability
- Jalen Nailor: 22.7% probability
- Mike Washington: 22.5% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 42.9% probability
- Malik Willis: 24.1% probability
- Malik Washington: 17.9% probability
- Greg Dulcich: 15.1% probability
- Caleb Douglas: 14.5% probability
Raiders-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kirk Cousins is projected for 211 passing yards. The Dolphins' Malik Willis is expected to throw for 194 yards.
Raiders Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 211 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Malik Willis: 194 projected passing yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 60 projected yards
- Mike Washington: 32 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 3 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 72 projected yards
- Malik Willis: 42 projected yards
- Jaylen Wright: 11 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Tre Tucker: 50 projected yards
- Michael Mayer: 44 projected yards
- Jalen Nailor: 43 projected yards
- Jack Bech: 24 projected yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 22 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Malik Washington: 33 projected yards
- Caleb Douglas: 32 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 30 projected yards
- Greg Dulcich: 29 projected yards
- Chris Bell: 25 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Las Vegas vs Miami game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Dolphins: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 game between the Raiders and Dolphins at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Monday 14 September 2026
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Las Vegas vs Miami predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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