Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026
Last updated: Jan 4, 2026, 9:25PM | Published: Dec 30, 2025, 1:51AM
The Las Vegas Raiders will sqaure off with the favoured Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 18 action at Allegiant Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Raiders vs Chiefs game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Las Vegas vs Kansas City NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 68% chance of beating the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.
Raiders vs Chiefs: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Allegiant Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Raiders $2.70, Chiefs $1.49
- Line: Raiders +3.5 ($1.91), Chiefs -3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 35.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $2.70 and the Chiefs at $1.49.
The Raiders are 3.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chiefs (-3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 35.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chiefs (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 35.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Raiders vs Chiefs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.49 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 35.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Raiders vs Chiefs predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Raiders vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium in Week 18 is the Chiefs prevailing 20-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Las Vegas vs Kansas City game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Raiders vs Chiefs prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs Chiefs.
Jeanty has a 13.4% chance of getting in for six first at Allegiant Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 44.9% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 13.4% probability
- Michael Mayer: 5.7% probability
- Tre Tucker: 5.5% probability
- Jack Bech: 3.4% probability
- Tyler Lockett: 3.0% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 13.3% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.4% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 6.1% probability
- Brashard Smith: 5.5% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 44.9% probability
- Michael Mayer: 22.5% probability
- Tre Tucker: 21.8% probability
- Jack Bech: 14.2% probability
- Tyler Lockett: 12.4% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 45.2% probability
- Travis Kelce: 25.0% probability
- Hollywood Brown: 24.0% probability
- Brashard Smith: 22.1% probability
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 19.0% probability
Raiders-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kenny Pickett is projected to have a quiet game with 136 passing yards. The Chiefs' Chris Oladokun is expected to throw for just 162 yards.
Raiders Starting QB
- Kenny Pickett: 136 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Chris Oladokun: 162 projected passing yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 68 projected yards
- Zamir White: 9 projected yards
- Kenny Pickett: 6 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 53 projected yards
- Dameon Pierce: 26 projected yards
- Brashard Smith: 19 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Michael Mayer: 44 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 39 projected yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 31 projected yards
- Jack Bech: 28 projected yards
- Tyler Lockett: 23 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 46 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 34 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 31 projected yards
- Jalen Royals: 29 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Las Vegas vs Kansas City match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Chiefs: Week 18 Essential Details
The NFL Week 18 match-up between the Raiders and Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 5 January 2026
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Las Vegas vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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