Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026

The Las Vegas Raiders will take on the favoured Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 18 action at Allegiant Stadium on Monday, beginning at 8:25am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Raiders vs Chiefs game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Las Vegas vs Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 72% chance of winning against the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.

Raiders vs Chiefs: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Allegiant Stadium are shown below:

• Head to Head: Raiders $3.20, Chiefs $1.37
• Line: Raiders +5.5 ($1.91), Chiefs -5.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 36.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $3.20 and the Chiefs at $1.37.

The Raiders are listed as 5.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Chiefs (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 36.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Raiders (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 36.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Raiders vs Chiefs: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.37 with Bet365
• Line: Raiders +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 36.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Raiders vs Chiefs best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

Raiders vs Chiefs: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium in Week 18 is the Chiefs winning 20-16.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Las Vegas vs Kansas City game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Raiders vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Raiders vs Chiefs? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs Chiefs.

Jeanty has a 17.5% chance of getting in for six first at Allegiant Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 54.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Raiders First TD Tips

• Ashton Jeanty: 17.5% probability
• Tre Tucker: 7.9% probability
• Michael Mayer: 5.3% probability
• Tyler Lockett: 2.7% probability
• Geno Smith: 2.1% probability

Chiefs First TD Tips

• Kareem Hunt: 9.1% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 9.0% probability
• Travis Kelce: 6.4% probability
• Xavier Worthy: 6.3% probability
• Hollywood Brown: 5.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Raiders Anytime TD Tips

• Ashton Jeanty: 54.5% probability
• Tre Tucker: 29.9% probability
• Michael Mayer: 21.4% probability
• Tyler Lockett: 11.6% probability
• Geno Smith: 9.0% probability

Chiefs Anytime TD Tips

• Kareem Hunt: 25.9% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 25.7% probability
• Travis Kelce: 19.1% probability
• Xavier Worthy: 18.8% probability
• Hollywood Brown: 15.5% probability

Raiders-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected for 195 passing yards. The Chiefs' Chris Oladokun is expected to throw for 183 yards.

Raiders Starting QB

• Geno Smith: 195 projected passing yards

Chiefs Starting QB

• Chris Oladokun: 183 projected passing yards

Raiders Rushing Yards

• Ashton Jeanty: 58 projected yards
• Geno Smith: 9 projected yards
• Tre Tucker: 3 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards

• Isiah Pacheco: 40 projected yards
• Kareem Hunt: 20 projected yards
• Chris Oladokun: 17 projected yards

Raiders Receiving Yards

• Tre Tucker: 41 projected yards
• Michael Mayer: 32 projected yards
• Ashton Jeanty: 25 projected yards
• Tyler Lockett: 16 projected yards
• Ian Thomas: 11 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards

• Xavier Worthy: 45 projected yards
• Travis Kelce: 36 projected yards
• Hollywood Brown: 27 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25 projected yards
• Noah Gray: 17 projected yards

Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Las Vegas vs Kansas City match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Raiders vs Chiefs: Week 18 Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 game between the Raiders and Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Monday 5 January 2026
• Time: 8:25am AEDT
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Las Vegas vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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