Raiders vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 14, 2025, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 7:20AM
The Raiders will sqaure off with the Broncos in NRL Finals Week 1 action at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Raiders vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Canberra vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Raiders a 63% chance of winning against the Broncos at GIO Stadium Canberra.
Raiders vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at GIO Stadium Canberra are shown here:
- Head to Head: Raiders $1.65, Broncos $2.30
- Line: Raiders -2.5 ($1.91), Broncos +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $1.65 and the Broncos at $2.30.
The Raiders are 2.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Raiders (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Raiders vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Raiders at $1.65 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Raiders vs Broncos predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Raiders vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Broncos at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday is the Raiders winning 26-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Raiders vs Broncos match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Raiders vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in Canberra vs Brisbane.
Mariner has a 7.7% chance of scoring the first try at GIO Stadium Canberra, while the Broncos star has a 43.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Jed Stuart: 6.8% probability
- Hudson Young: 6.0% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 5.6% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 4.9% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 4.9% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 7.7% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 6.4% probability
- Reece Walsh: 6.3% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 5.5% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Jed Stuart: 40.2% probability
- Hudson Young: 38.0% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 35.2% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 32.9% probability
- Ethan Strange: 31.6% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 43.9% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 39.1% probability
- Reece Walsh: 38.9% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 33.0% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 31.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Raiders vs Broncos game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Raiders and Broncos at GIO Stadium Canberra is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Sunday 14 September 2025
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: GIO Stadium Canberra
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Raiders vs Broncos predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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