Raiders vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 11, 2025, 9:50AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 7:20AM
The Raiders will sqaure off with the Broncos in NRL Finals Week 1 action at GIO Stadium Canberra on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Raiders vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Canberra vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Raiders a 63% chance of winning against the Broncos at GIO Stadium Canberra.
Raiders vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at GIO Stadium Canberra are shown below:
- Head to Head: Raiders $1.68, Broncos $2.20
- Line: Raiders -2.5 ($1.91), Broncos +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $1.68 and the Broncos at $2.20.
The Raiders are 2.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Raiders (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 44.5-point over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Raiders vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Raiders at $1.68 with Bet365
- Line: Raiders -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Raiders vs Broncos best bets are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Raiders vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Broncos at GIO Stadium Canberra this Sunday is the Raiders prevailing 26-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Raiders vs Broncos match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Searching for Raiders vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in Canberra vs Brisbane.
Mariner has a 7.8% chance of scoring the first try at GIO Stadium Canberra, while the Broncos star has a 43.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Jed Stuart: 6.8% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 6.2% probability
- Hudson Young: 5.8% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 5.4% probability
- Matthew Timoko: 4.9% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 7.8% probability
- Reece Walsh: 6.2% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 6.1% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.1% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Canberra Raiders
- Jed Stuart: 39.7% probability
- Hudson Young: 37.1% probability
- Savelio Tamale: 36.7% probability
- Ethan Strange: 32.9% probability
- Sebastian Kris: 32.6% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 43.8% probability
- Reece Walsh: 38.1% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 37.4% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 32.0% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 30.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Raiders vs Broncos game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Raiders and Broncos at GIO Stadium Canberra is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Sunday 14 September 2025
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: GIO Stadium Canberra
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Raiders vs Broncos predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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