Raiders vs Bears Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 8:25PM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 4:02AM
The Las Vegas Raiders will take on the Chicago Bears in NFL Week 4 action at Allegiant Stadium on Monday, starting at 6:25am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Raiders vs Bears game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Las Vegas vs Chicago NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Raiders a 55% chance of winning against the Bears at Allegiant Stadium.
Raiders vs Bears: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Allegiant Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Raiders $1.74, Bears $2.15
- Line: Raiders -2 ($1.91), Bears +2 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Raiders at $1.74 and the Bears at $2.15.
The Raiders are 2-point favourites against the Bears, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bears (+2) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bears (+2) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Raiders vs Bears: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Chicago at $2.15 with Bet365
- Line: Bears +2 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Raiders vs Bears predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Raiders have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bears to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Raiders vs Bears: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Raiders vs Bears at Allegiant Stadium in Week 4 is the Raiders winning 24-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Las Vegas vs Chicago game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Raiders vs Bears prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Raiders vs Bears: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs Bears? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is the most likely player to score the first TD in Raiders vs Bears.
Jeanty has a 13.8% chance of getting in for six first at Allegiant Stadium, while the Raiders RB has a 46.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Raiders First TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 13.8% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 8.1% probability
- Brock Bowers: 8.0% probability
- Tre Tucker: 6.7% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 4.2% probability
Bears First TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 8.6% probability
- Rome Odunze: 8.3% probability
- DJ Moore: 6.5% probability
- Cole Kmet: 4.2% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Raiders Anytime TD Tips
- Ashton Jeanty: 46.9% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 31.0% probability
- Brock Bowers: 30.9% probability
- Tre Tucker: 26.5% probability
- Dont'e Thornton: 17.4% probability
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 36.7% probability
- Rome Odunze: 35.5% probability
- DJ Moore: 29.1% probability
- Cole Kmet: 20.0% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 19.1% probability
Raiders-Bears Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected for 258 passing yards. The Bears' Caleb Williams is expected to throw for 231 yards.
Raiders Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 258 projected passing yards
Bears Starting QB
- Caleb Williams: 231 projected passing yards
Raiders Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 72 projected yards
- Zamir White: 13 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 12 projected yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- D'Andre Swift: 52 projected yards
- Caleb Williams: 30 projected yards
- Kyle Monangai: 20 projected yards
Raiders Receiving Yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 71 projected yards
- Brock Bowers: 62 projected yards
- Tre Tucker: 50 projected yards
- Dont'e Thornton: 36 projected yards
- Ashton Jeanty: 17 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- Rome Odunze: 68 projected yards
- DJ Moore: 50 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 32 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 28 projected yards
- D'Andre Swift: 22 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Las Vegas vs Chicago game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Raiders vs Bears: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Raiders and Bears at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Las Vegas vs Chicago predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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