Rabbitohs vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2026
Last updated: Jul 21, 2026, 1:33PM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 11:05PM
The Rabbitohs will sqaure off with the Storm in NRL Round 21 action at Stadium Australia on Friday, beginning at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Rabbitohs vs Storm game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's South Sydney vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 54% chance of beating the Rabbitohs at Stadium Australia.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Stadium Australia are listed below:
- Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.96, Storm $1.78
- Line: Rabbitohs +1.5 ($1.91), Storm -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Rabbitohs at $1.96 and the Storm at $1.78.
The Rabbitohs are 1.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Rabbitohs and the Storm have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 46.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.78 with Bet365
- Line: Rabbitohs +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Rabbitohs vs Storm best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Storm at Stadium Australia this Friday is the Storm winning 24-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Souths vs Storm match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Rabbitohs vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Rabbitohs vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs Melbourne.
Johnston has a 12.0% chance of scoring the first try at Stadium Australia, while the Rabbitohs star has a 59.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 12.0% probability
- Campbell Graham: 5.4% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 4.8% probability
- Cody Walker: 4.3% probability
- David Fifita: 3.6% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 7.6% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 6.2% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 5.0% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.5% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 4.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 59.0% probability
- Campbell Graham: 36.5% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 33.6% probability
- Cody Walker: 28.2% probability
- Jack Wighton: 24.8% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 45.9% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 37.0% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 31.3% probability
- Harry Grant: 29.1% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 28.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Rabbitohs vs Storm game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Rabbitohs and Storm at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday 24 July 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: Stadium Australia
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Souths vs Storm predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.

