Rabbitohs vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 21, 2026
Last updated: Jul 24, 2026, 9:50AM | Published: Jul 19, 2026, 11:05PM
The Rabbitohs will face the Storm in NRL Round 21 action at Stadium Australia on Friday, beginning at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Rabbitohs vs Storm game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's South Sydney vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm a 54% chance of winning against the Rabbitohs at Stadium Australia.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Stadium Australia are shown here:
- Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.96, Storm $1.78
- Line: Rabbitohs +1.5 ($1.91), Storm -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Rabbitohs at $1.96 and the Storm at $1.78.
The Rabbitohs are 1.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Rabbitohs and the Storm have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 45.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.78 with Bet365
- Line: Rabbitohs +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Rabbitohs vs Storm best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Storm at Stadium Australia on Friday is the Storm winning 24-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Souths vs Storm match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Rabbitohs vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Rabbitohs vs Storm try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs Melbourne.
Johnston has a 12.3% chance of scoring the first try at Stadium Australia, while the Rabbitohs star has a 58.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 12.3% probability
- Campbell Graham: 6.2% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 5.0% probability
- Cody Walker: 4.3% probability
- Jack Wighton: 3.5% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 7.7% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 6.0% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 5.5% probability
- Harry Grant: 4.1% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 4.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 58.4% probability
- Campbell Graham: 36.8% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 33.6% probability
- Cody Walker: 27.9% probability
- Jack Wighton: 24.7% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Moses Leo: 44.3% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 37.0% probability
- Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown: 36.4% probability
- Harry Grant: 29.9% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 27.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Rabbitohs vs Storm game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Rabbitohs vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 21 clash between the Rabbitohs and Storm at Stadium Australia is scheduled to start at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday 24 July 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: Stadium Australia
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Souths vs Storm predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
