Rabbitohs vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2026
Last updated: Sep 11, 2026, 9:51AM | Published: Sep 6, 2026, 11:45PM
The Rabbitohs will sqaure off with the Knights in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Stadium Australia on Friday, with kick-off at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Rabbitohs vs Knights game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's South Sydney vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Rabbitohs a 77% chance of beating the Knights in the first week of NRL finals.
Rabbitohs vs Knights: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Stadium Australia are listed here:
- Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.35, Knights $3.10
- Line: Rabbitohs -8.5 ($1.91), Knights +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Rabbitohs at $1.35 and the Knights at $3.10.
The Rabbitohs are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Knights (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Rabbitohs (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Rabbitohs vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Souths at $1.35 with Bet365
- Line: Rabbitohs -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Rabbitohs vs Knights best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Rabbitohs vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Knights at Stadium Australia on Friday is the Rabbitohs prevailing 30-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Souths vs Knights match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Rabbitohs vs Knights: Try Scorers
Searching for Rabbitohs vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs Newcastle.
Johnston has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first try at Stadium Australia, while the Rabbitohs star has a 63.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 12.6% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 8.8% probability
- Campbell Graham: 7.3% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 5.0% probability
- Cody Walker: 4.1% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.1% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 7.9% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.3% probability
- Bradman Best: 3.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 3.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 63.7% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 51.2% probability
- Campbell Graham: 42.9% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 32.2% probability
- Cody Walker: 28.6% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Greg Marzhew: 47.6% probability
- Dominic Young: 47.5% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 32.4% probability
- Bradman Best: 28.0% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 24.3% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Rabbitohs vs Knights game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Rabbitohs vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Rabbitohs and Knights at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 7:50pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Friday 11 September 2026
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: Stadium Australia
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Souths vs Knights predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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