Rabbitohs vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 7, 2026
Last updated: Apr 15, 2026, 8:16PM | Published: Apr 12, 2026, 10:45PM
The Rabbitohs will take on the Dragons in NRL Round 7 action at Stadium Australia on Saturday, beginning at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Rabbitohs vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's South Sydney vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Rabbitohs a 77% chance of defeating the Dragons at Stadium Australia.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Stadium Australia are shown below:
- Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.24, Dragons $4.00
- Line: Rabbitohs -13.5 ($1.91), Dragons +13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Rabbitohs at $1.24 and the Dragons at $4.00.
The Rabbitohs are 13.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St George at $4.00 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Rabbitohs vs Dragons betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Rabbitohs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Dragons at Stadium Australia this Saturday is the Rabbitohs winning 28-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Souths vs St George match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Looking for Rabbitohs vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs St George Illawarra.
Johnston has a 12.4% chance of scoring the first try at Stadium Australia, while the Rabbitohs star has a 66.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 12.4% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 8.9% probability
- Campbell Graham: 7.0% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 6.6% probability
- Jack Wighton: 4.7% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 5.0% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 4.7% probability
- Setu Tu: 4.3% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 66.2% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 55.5% probability
- Campbell Graham: 44.6% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 43.0% probability
- Jack Wighton: 34.4% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 36.5% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 36.4% probability
- Setu Tu: 32.8% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 31.8% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 30.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Rabbitohs vs Dragons game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 7 clash between the Rabbitohs and Dragons at Stadium Australia is scheduled to commence at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 18 April 2026
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Stadium Australia
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Souths vs St George predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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