Rabbitohs vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 7, 2026
Last updated: Apr 18, 2026, 7:30AM | Published: Apr 12, 2026, 10:45PM
The Rabbitohs will sqaure off with the Dragons in NRL Round 7 action at Stadium Australia on Saturday, beginning at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Rabbitohs vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's South Sydney vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Rabbitohs a 76% chance of beating the Dragons in Round 7 of the 2026 NRL season.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Stadium Australia are listed here:
- Head to Head: Rabbitohs $1.28, Dragons $3.75
- Line: Rabbitohs -11.5 ($1.91), Dragons +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Rabbitohs at $1.28 and the Dragons at $3.75.
The Rabbitohs are listed as 11.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+11.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 52.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 64% of the time.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Souths at $1.28 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Rabbitohs vs Dragons predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Rabbitohs vs Dragons at Stadium Australia on Saturday is the Rabbitohs winning 28-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Souths vs St George match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Looking for Rabbitohs vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Rabbitohs' Alex Johnston is the most likely player to score the first try in South Sydney vs St George Illawarra.
Johnston has a 11.6% chance of scoring the first try at Stadium Australia, while the Rabbitohs star has a 63.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 11.6% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 9.3% probability
- Campbell Graham: 6.6% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 6.3% probability
- Jack Wighton: 4.9% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 5.4% probability
- Setu Tu: 4.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.7% probability
- David Fale: 4.6% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
South Sydney Rabbitohs
- Alex Johnston: 63.8% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 53.9% probability
- Campbell Graham: 43.6% probability
- Matthew Dufty: 42.3% probability
- Jack Wighton: 33.8% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 37.4% probability
- Setu Tu: 34.6% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 33.4% probability
- David Fale: 32.9% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 32.0% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Rabbitohs vs Dragons game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 7 clash between the Rabbitohs and Dragons at Stadium Australia is scheduled to commence at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 18 April 2026
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Stadium Australia
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Souths vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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