QLD vs NSW State of Origin Game 2 Prediction 2025
Last updated: Jun 18, 2025, 9:08AM | Published: Jun 18, 2025, 12:08AM
Queensland will sqaure off with the favoured New South Wales in Game 2 of the 2025 State of Origin series at Optus Stadium on Wednesday, commencing at 8:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for State of Origin Game 2, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Game 2 of the 2025 State of Origin series 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 68% chance of defeating the Maroons at Optus Stadium.
QLD vs NSW Game 2: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's State of Origin clash at Optus Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Queensland $2.90, New South Wales $1.42
- Line: Queensland +7.5 ($1.91), New South Wales -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have Queensland at $2.90 and NSW at $1.42.
Queensland is listed as a 7.5-point underdog against New South Wales, with odds of $1.91 available at TAB.
For the favourite New South Wales (-7.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, QLD (+7.5) is predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 40.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
State of Origin Game 2: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Queensland at $2.90 with TAB
- Line: QLD +7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
- Total Points: Over 40.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's State of Origin Game 2 predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While New South Wales has a higher chance of winning the game, betting on QLD to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a punter.
State of Origin Game 2: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for State of Origin Game 2 at Optus Stadium on Wednesday is the Blues winning 24-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of State of Origin Game 2 on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
State of Origin Game 2: Try Scorers
Who will score an anytime try in Game 2 of State of Origin? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Zac Lomax is the most likely player to score the first try in QLD vs NSW.
Lomax has a 8.3% chance of scoring the first try at Optus Stadium, while the NSW star has a 46.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Queensland Maroons
- Xavier Coates: 7.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.2% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 5.1% probability
- Robert Toia: 3.8% probability
- Tom Dearden: 3.3% probability
New South Wales Blues
- Zac Lomax: 8.3% probability
- Brian To'o: 8.1% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 7.4% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 6.1% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 4.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Queensland Maroons
- Xavier Coates: 38.6% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 31.8% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 29.4% probability
- Robert Toia: 23.6% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 20.2% probability
New South Wales Blues
- Zac Lomax: 46.6% probability
- Brian To'o: 44.5% probability
- Latrell Mitchell: 41.4% probability
- Stephen Crichton: 34.8% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 28.0% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Queensland vs New South Wales match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every State of Origin match, plus predictions for every game of the 2025 NRL season.
QLD vs NSW Game 2: Essential Details
The State of Origin Game 2 between Queensland and New South Wales at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:05pm AEST on Wednesday.
- Teams: Queensland vs New South Wales
- Date: Wednesday 18 June 2025
- Time: 8:05pm AEST
- Venue: Optus Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our State of Origin Game 2 predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our State of Origin tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our State of Origin predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on State of Origin
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on State of Origin in Australia, with the latest State of Origin betting news and predictions for every State of Origin game.
