Punters Corner: "We've loaded up like there's no tomorrow!"
Last updated: Aug 9, 2019, 4:46AM | Published: Aug 9, 2019, 4:09AM
This is our week, people. This is the week we rocket back into the big biscuits that we were seeing a few weeks back before injuries and hard-done-by-edness cruelled our momentum.
Jeremy Cameron being a late withdrawal last week means we have a few extra bets this week to make up for a quiet one but kudos to those who jumped onto my Hoskin-Elliot bet via twitter last Sunday for 3 (10's) and 4 (50's!) Goals against the Suns. Easy money!
The fun starts tonight in the nation’s capital in what could be the most putrid conditions for footy since the league decided to transplant Gary Ablett and 39 other guys with boots up north to a bunch of demountables in Nerang.
Value in the Canberra Cold
- Hawks +16.5 into Under 140.5pts @ 3.30
This game will be brutal. 3 degrees come bounce which in Canberra will feel like -3. The wind will be right up with 30km+ gusts which will severely impact goal kicking accuracy, and then there is the decent chance of rain/hail/snow at some stage which will absolutely kill scoring altogether.
Throw in the lack of Himmelberg/Finlayson to the GWS forward line which allows the Hawks to know exactly where it’s going, and it just looks like low-scoring close game all day long. Check the radar closer to bounce but don’t leave it too late otherwise that Total Points line could drop south of 120.
Suns are going to get Puuuuuuuumped!
For what they are about to receive, may the footy gods be merciful (in fact after this game they could well receive all the compensation picks they want).
No Hombsch cannot be understated. It leaves Burgess and the debutant Caleb Graham to stand McStay and McInerny whilst Ballard looks the ‘best’ matchup for Eric Hipwood. We haven’t even started on Cameron who probably gets Harbrow. Throw in Raynor too, they are all going to fill up here.
So how do we nail down who pops and who doesn’t? We don’t, we scatter-gun in every direction, sit back and cheer each and every goal the Lions kick.
- Cam Raynor 3+, 4+ Goals @ 7.00, 22.25
Kicked 3.1 when these sides met earlier this year and will get a super soft matchup possibly Lukosius.
- Charlie Cameron 5+, 6+ Goals @ 5.00, 11.00
Actually don't love Cameron here just purely from a lack of value standpoint but with the Harbrow matchup and the way the Lions are using Cameron out of the goal square, it is too hard to leave him out.
- Eric Hipwood 5+, 6+ Goals @ 10.00, 26.00
Hipwood will get a great matchup here, whether it's Ballard, Burgess or Graham Hipwood is either bigger or faster. Great value!
- Oscar McInerny 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+ @ 6.75, 21.00, 82.50, 226.00
He is 75 ft taller than the tallest Suns defender so anything that goes long is his. Suns are woeful at plugging the corridor as well, so you'd expect any mark to be converted.
- Dan McStay 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+ @ 9.50, 38.25, 171.00, 800.00
LOVE the spot here for big Dan. He will get a super soft matchup most likely the kid, and I can just not help but sense a career game for him in front of the sticks. The scenario doesn't get better.
Suns at the centre of the Club 20 Multi-verse
It's not enough that we have them individually, we are loading up on the Lions goal scorers in multi's as well
- McCarthy, McInerny, Raynor 2 Goals @ 14.50
- Hipwood, Cameron 3 Goals, McInerny, McStay 2 Goals @ 38.00
- Hipwood, Cameron 4 Goals, McInerny, McStay 2 Goals @ 111.00
- Cameron 5, Hipwood 4, McStay, Rayner 2 @171.00
- McStay 4, Raynor 3 @ 226.00
- Hipwood 5, Cameron 4, McStay, Rayner 2 @ 251.00
- Cameron 4, Hipwood, Raynor, McStay 3 @ 351.00
- Raynor, McStay, McInerny 3 Goals @ 400.00
- Hipwood 4, Raynor, McStay 3, McInerny 2 @ 650.00
Drop a comment at the bottom of the page (or on Twitter / Facebook) to tell us where you think the value is this week 👇