Port Adelaide vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 5, 2026
Last updated: Apr 12, 2026, 9:10AM | Published: Apr 6, 2026, 6:30AM
Port Adelaide will face St Kilda in AFL Round 5 action at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, commencing at 7:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Port Adelaide vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 59% chance of defeating the Power at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed below:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $2.20, St Kilda $1.68
- Line: Port Adelaide +6.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Port Adelaide at $2.20 and St Kilda at $1.68.
The Power are 6.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Port Adelaide and St Kilda have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 171.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $1.68 with Bet365
- Line: P Adelaide +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Port Adelaide vs St Kilda best bets are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs St Kilda at Adelaide Oval on Sunday is St Kilda winning 88-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Port Adelaide vs St Kilda match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Goal Scorers
Searching for Port Adelaide vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs St Kilda.
Georgiades has a 6.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has an 86.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 6.6% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 4.8% probability
- Todd Marshall: 4.8% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 3.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 3.3% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 5.6% probability
- Mitch Owens: 5.3% probability
- Liam Ryan: 4.7% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 4.3% probability
- Max Hall: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 86.4% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 75.5% probability
- Todd Marshall: 74.8% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 65.9% probability
- Corey Durdin: 62.1% probability
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: 79.7% probability
- Mitch Owens: 79.4% probability
- Cooper Sharman: 73.8% probability
- Liam Ryan: 72.9% probability
- Max Hall: 68.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Port Adelaide vs St Kilda game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Power and Saints at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 7:15pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs St Kilda
- Date: Sunday 12 April 2026
- Time: 7:15pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Port Adelaide vs St Kilda predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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