Port Adelaide vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 17, 2025, 6:10AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
Port Adelaide will face Geelong in AFL Round 10 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Port Adelaide vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Port Adelaide vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 62% chance of winning against the Power in Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are listed here:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $2.40, Geelong $1.60
- Line: Port Adelaide +8.5 ($1.91), Geelong -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Port Adelaide at $2.40 and Geelong at $1.60.
The Power are 8.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cats (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookies have got it right and both Port Adelaide and Geelong have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 175.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.60 with Bet365
- Line: P Adelaide +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Port Adelaide vs Geelong best bets are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Geelong at Adelaide Oval this Saturday is Geelong winning 92-84.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Port Adelaide vs Geelong match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Goal Scorers
Looking for Port Adelaide vs Geelong goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Geelong.
Cameron has an 8.7% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Cats star has a 93.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 6.7% probability
- Willie Rioli: 4.7% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 4.6% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 3.9% probability
- Ollie Lord: 3.7% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 8.7% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.2% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 4.6% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.5% probability
- Patrick Dangerfield: 4.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 87.0% probability
- Sam Powell-Pepper: 77.7% probability
- Willie Rioli: 77.3% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 69.8% probability
- Ollie Lord: 69.2% probability
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 93.1% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 78.5% probability
- Oliver Henry: 76.2% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 75.0% probability
- Patrick Dangerfield: 72.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Port Adelaide vs Geelong match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Port Adelaide vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Power and Cats at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Geelong
- Date: Saturday 17 May 2025
- Time: 4:15pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Port Adelaide vs Geelong predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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