Port Adelaide vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 25, 2026, 3:36AM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:30PM
Port Adelaide will sqaure off with Carlton in AFL Round 11 action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Port Adelaide vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Power a 63% chance of winning against the Blues at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Adelaide Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Port Adelaide $1.47, Carlton $2.70
- Line: Port Adelaide -12.5 ($1.91), Carlton +12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Port Adelaide at $1.47 and Carlton at $2.70.
The Power are 12.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+12.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $2.70 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Port Adelaide vs Carlton best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Power have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Port Adelaide vs Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Saturday is Port Adelaide winning 88-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Port Adelaide vs Carlton match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Port Adelaide vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Port Adelaide vs Carlton.
Georgiades has a 13.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Adelaide Oval, while the Power star has a 98.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 13.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 5.4% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 5.3% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 5.1% probability
- Tom Anastasopoulos: 4.1% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 6.4% probability
- Mitch McGovern: 5.8% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 5.2% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.0% probability
- Will Hayward: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 98.4% probability
- Corey Durdin: 79.4% probability
- Jason Horne-Francis: 75.7% probability
- Jack Whitlock: 75.7% probability
- Tom Anastasopoulos: 66.3% probability
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 83.3% probability
- Mitch McGovern: 80.9% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 78.1% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 67.4% probability
- Will Hayward: 62.9% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Port Adelaide vs Carlton match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Power and Blues at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Port Adelaide vs Carlton
- Date: Saturday 23 May 2026
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Port Adelaide vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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