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Pirates vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 9 August 2025

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at PNC Park on Saturday, commencing at 8:40am AEST.

Mitch Keller (5-10, 3.89 ERA) will get the ball for the Pirates, pitting him against Chase Burns (0-3, 6.04 ERA) for the Reds.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pirates vs Reds game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Reds a 52% chance of defeating the Pirates at PNC Park.

Pirates vs Reds: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at PNC Park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Pirates $2.05, Reds $1.80
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.61), Reds -1.5 ($2.40)
  • Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $2.05 and the Reds at $1.80.

The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Reds, with odds of $1.61 available at TAB.

For the favourite Reds (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.40.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Pirates vs Reds: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.05 with TAB
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB

These Pirates vs Reds predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Reds have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option due to the 1.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Pirates vs Reds: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Pirates vs Reds: Essential Details

The game between the Pirates and Reds at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 8:40am AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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