Pirates vs Reds Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 22 April 2023
Apr 20, 2023, 10:42PM
The Pittsburgh Pirates face the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at PNC Park on Saturday, beginning at 8:35am AEST.
Mitch Keller (1-0, 3.80 ERA) will get the ball for the Pirates, up against Graham Ashcraft (2-0, 1.42 ERA) for the Reds.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Pirates vs Reds, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Pirates vs Reds
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Pittsburgh-Cincinnati MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Pirates a 57% chance of defeating the Reds at PNC Park.
More: Pirates vs Reds Simulated 10,000 Times
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Current Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Pirates $1.69, Reds $2.20
- Line: Pirates -1.5 ($2.40), Reds +1.5 ($1.59)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.87, Under $1.95
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Pirates to win at $1.69 and the Reds to win at $2.20.
The Pirates are 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.40 currently available at PointsBet.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.59.
The Over/Under for total runs scored has been set at 8.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $1.95.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 8.5-run Over/Under has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every MLB Game
Pirates vs Reds Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Cincinnati at $2.20 with PointsBet
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.59 with PointsBet (61% probability)
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.95 with bet365 (53% probability)
Stats Insider's Pirates vs Reds best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Pirates have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Reds to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the PointsBet odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati on Saturday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati game at PNC Park.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Pirates vs Reds MLB 2023
The match-up between the Pirates and Reds at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 8:35am AEST on Saturday.
- Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Saturday 22 April 2023
- Time: 8:35am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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