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Pirates vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 21 July 2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PNC Park on Sunday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.

Luis L. Ortiz (4-2, 2.84 ERA) will start for the Pirates, up against Cristopher Sánchez (7-4, 2.96 ERA) for the Phillies.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pirates vs Phillies game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 59% chance of winning against the Pirates at PNC Park.

Pirates vs Phillies: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at PNC Park are listed below:

  • Head to Head: Pirates $2.48, Phillies $1.56
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.88), Phillies -1.5 ($1.93)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Pirates at $2.48 and the Phillies at $1.56.

The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.88 available at TAB.

For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.93.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 8.8-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Pirates vs Phillies: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.48 with TAB (2.1% edge)
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.88 with TAB (54% probability)
  • Total Runs: Under 8.8 at $1.91 with TAB (54% probability)

Stats Insider's Pirates vs Phillies predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option due to the 2.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.

Pirates vs Phillies: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Pirates vs Phillies: Essential Details

The game between the Pirates and Phillies at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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