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Pirates vs Phillies Prediction and MLB Tips - 20 July 2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates will sqaure off with the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at PNC Park on Saturday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.

The Pirates will have Martín Pérez (1-5, 5.16 ERA) start, while the Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.38 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Pirates vs Phillies game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia MLB game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 57% chance of defeating the Pirates at PNC Park.

Pirates vs Phillies: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Pirates $2.46, Phillies $1.57
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.87), Phillies -1.5 ($1.95)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.45 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Pirates at $2.46 and the Phillies at $1.57.

The Pirates are 1.5-run underdogs against the Phillies, with odds of $1.87 available at TAB.

For the favourite Phillies (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.95.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.45 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 8.45-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Pirates vs Phillies: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.46 with TAB (4.5% edge) 🔥
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.87 with TAB (57% probability) 🔥
  • Total Runs: Under 8.45 at $1.91 with TAB (52% probability)

If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.

Stats Insider's Pirates vs Phillies best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option because of the 4.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.

Pirates vs Phillies: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Pirates vs Phillies: Essential Details

The game between the Pirates and Phillies at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Saturday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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