Pirates vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 May 2025
Last updated: May 4, 2025, 5:35PM | Published: May 4, 2025, 1:28AM
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action at PNC Park on Monday, commencing at 3:35am AEST.
The Pirates will have Andrew Heaney (2-2, 2.50 ERA) start, while the Padres will counter with Stephen Kolek (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Pirates vs Padres game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Pittsburgh vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Pirates a 51% chance of beating the Padres at PNC Park.
Pirates vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Pirates $1.83, Padres $2.00
- Line: Pirates -1.5 ($2.75), Padres +1.5 ($1.48)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $1.83 and the Padres at $2.00.
The Pirates are 1.5-run favourites against the Padres, with odds of $2.75 available at TAB.
For the underdog Padres (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.48.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Padres (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 66% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Pirates vs Padres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Diego at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Padres +1.5 at $1.48 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Pirates vs Padres best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Pirates have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Padres to win is our recommended option because of the 1.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Pirates vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs San Diego game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs San Diego game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pirates vs Padres: Essential Details
The match-up between the Pirates and Padres at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 3:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Monday 5 May 2025
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Pittsburgh vs San Diego predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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