Pirates vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 4 May 2025
Last updated: May 3, 2025, 9:45PM | Published: May 3, 2025, 1:28AM
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action at PNC Park on Sunday, beginning at 6:05am AEST.
Bailey Falter (1-3, 5.93 ERA) will be on the bump for the Pirates, while the Padres will counter with Randy Vásquez (1-3, 4.28 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pirates vs Padres game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Pittsburgh vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 51% chance of beating the Pirates at PNC Park.
Pirates vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at PNC Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Pirates $1.91, Padres $1.91
- Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.59), Padres -1.5 ($2.45)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $1.91 and the Padres at $1.91.
The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Padres, with odds of $1.59 available at TAB.
For the favourite Padres (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.45.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Pirates vs Padres: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $1.91 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.59 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Pirates vs Padres predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Pirates vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs San Diego game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs San Diego match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pirates vs Padres: Essential Details
The game between the Pirates and Padres at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 6:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Sunday 4 May 2025
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Pittsburgh vs San Diego predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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