Pirates vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 3 May 2025
Last updated: May 2, 2025, 11:51PM | Published: May 2, 2025, 1:33AM
The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the San Diego Padres in MLB action at PNC Park on Saturday, commencing at 8:40am AEST.
Mitch Keller (1-2, 3.97 ERA) will get the ball for the Pirates, up against Dylan Cease (1-2, 5.76 ERA) for the Padres.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pirates vs Padres game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Pittsburgh vs San Diego MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Padres a 59% chance of beating the Pirates at PNC Park.
Pirates vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Pirates $2.35, Padres $1.62
- Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.77), Padres -1.5 ($2.10)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $2.35 and the Padres at $1.62.
The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Padres, with odds of $1.77 available at TAB.
For the favourite Padres (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.10.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Pirates vs Padres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.35 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.77 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Pirates vs Padres best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Padres have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Pirates vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs San Diego game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs San Diego game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pirates vs Padres: Essential Details
The match-up between the Pirates and Padres at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 8:40am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday 3 May 2025
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Pittsburgh vs San Diego predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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