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Pirates vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 29 June 2025

The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at PNC Park on Sunday, starting at 6:05am AEST.

Bailey Falter (6-3, 3.59 ERA) will start for the Pirates, while the Mets are going with Paul Blackburn (0-2, 6.62 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Pirates vs Mets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Pittsburgh vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 56% chance of winning against the Pirates at PNC Park.

Pirates vs Mets: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Pirates $2.20, Mets $1.71
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.74), Mets -1.5 ($2.14)
  • Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $2.20 and the Mets at $1.71.

The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.74 available at TAB.

For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.14.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Pirates vs Mets: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.20 with TAB
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.74 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Pirates vs Mets best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Pirates vs Mets: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs NY Mets game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs NY Mets game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Pirates vs Mets: Essential Details

The match-up between the Pirates and Mets at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 6:05am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs NY Mets predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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