Pirates vs Cubs Prediction and MLB Tips - 1 May 2025
Last updated: Apr 30, 2025, 10:40PM | Published: Apr 30, 2025, 1:29AM
The Pittsburgh Pirates will face the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.
The Pirates will have Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3, 6.96 ERA) start, while the Cubs will counter with Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.54 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Pirates vs Cubs game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Pittsburgh vs Cubs MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Cubs a 60% chance of defeating the Pirates at PNC Park.
Pirates vs Cubs: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Pirates $2.45, Cubs $1.58
- Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.88), Cubs -1.5 ($1.94)
- Total (Over/Under 8.688 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $2.45 and the Cubs at $1.58.
The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Cubs, with odds of $1.88 available at TAB.
For the favourite Cubs (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.94.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.688 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 8.688-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Pirates vs Cubs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.45 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.88 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.688 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Pirates vs Cubs betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Cubs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option because of the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Pirates vs Cubs: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Cubs game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Pittsburgh vs Cubs match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Pirates vs Cubs: Essential Details
The game between the Pirates and Cubs at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday 1 May 2025
- Time: 8:40am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Pittsburgh vs Cubs predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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