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Pirates vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 June 2025

The Pittsburgh Pirates will sqaure off with the Houston Astros in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, beginning at 8:40am AEST.

Mike Burrows (0-1, 8.64 ERA) will start for the Pirates, while the Astros will counter with Ryan Gusto (3-2, 4.62 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Pirates vs Astros game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Pittsburgh vs Houston MLB game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Astros a 53% chance of beating the Pirates at PNC Park.

Pirates vs Astros: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PNC Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Pirates $2.10, Astros $1.77
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.67), Astros -1.5 ($2.25)
  • Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Pirates at $2.10 and the Astros at $1.77.

The Pirates are 1.5-run underdogs against the Astros, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.

For the favourite Astros (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.

Pirates vs Astros: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.10 with TAB
  • Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.67 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Pirates vs Astros predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Astros have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option due to the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.

Pirates vs Astros: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Pittsburgh vs Houston game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Pittsburgh vs Houston match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Pirates vs Astros: Essential Details

The match-up between the Pirates and Astros at PNC Park is scheduled to commence at 8:40am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Pittsburgh vs Houston predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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