Pirates vs Astros Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 13 April 2023
Apr 11, 2023, 4:23PM
The Pittsburgh Pirates face the Houston Astros in MLB action at PNC Park on Thursday, starting at 2:35am AEST.
The Pirates will send Rich Hill (0-1, 10.00 ERA) to the mound, while the Astros will counter with José Urquidy (0-0, 3.86 ERA).
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Pirates vs Astros, plus the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who will win? Pirates vs Astros
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Pittsburgh-Houston MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Astros a 56% chance of beating the Pirates at PNC Park.
More: Pirates vs Astros Simulated 10,000 Times
Pittsburgh vs Houston Current Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at PNC Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Pirates $2.40, Astros $1.62
- Line: Pirates +1.5 ($1.87), Astros -1.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Pirates to win at $2.40 and the Astros to win at $1.62.
The Pirates are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Astros, with odds of $1.87 currently available at bet365.
For the favourite Astros (-1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total runs scored has been set at 9.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the line, while the 9.5-run Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Pirates vs Astros MLB Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.40 with bet365 (3.6% edge)
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.87 with bet365 (57% probability) 🔥
- Total Runs: Under 9.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (56% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Today's Pirates vs Astros predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Astros have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option due to the 3.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Pirates vs Astros Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Pittsburgh vs Houston on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live updates.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Pittsburgh vs Houston game at PNC Park.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Pirates vs Astros MLB 2023
The game between the Pirates and Astros at PNC Park is scheduled to start at 2:35am AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
- Date: Thursday 13 April 2023
- Time: 2:35am AEST
- Venue: PNC Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
More About MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

