Phillies vs Royals Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 August 2023
Last updated: Aug 4, 2023, 11:06PM | Published: Aug 3, 2023, 11:55PM
The Philadelphia Phillies face the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, starting at 9:05am AEST.
Aaron Nola (9-7, 4.44 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Royals will counter with Jordan Lyles (2-12, 6.15 ERA).
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Phillies vs Royals, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Phillies vs Royals
Using high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Philadelphia-Kansas City MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 68% chance of winning against the Royals at Citizens Bank Park.
More: Phillies vs Royals Match Centre
Phillies vs Royals: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.36, Royals $3.20
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.80), Royals +1.5 ($2.05)
- Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.95, Under $1.87
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Phillies at $1.36 and the Royals at $3.20.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Royals, with odds of $1.80 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the underdog Royals (+1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $2.05.
The Over/Under for Phillies vs Royals sits at 9.5 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 9.5 runs is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Looking for the best way to bet on this Phillies vs Royals game? Join PointsBet now and check out the world's most exciting sports betting format, Spread Betting.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Phillies vs Royals: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $3.20 with PointsBet (0.7% edge)
- Line: Royals +1.5 at $2.05 with PointsBet
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 at $1.95 with PointsBet (50% probability)
Our Phillies vs Royals predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
We highly recommend betting on this Phillies vs Royals game at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on MLB and more. Create your PointsBet account today!
And while the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Royals to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Although the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Royals +1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Phillies vs Royals: Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Philadelphia vs Kansas City on Saturday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live scores.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Kansas City match-up at Citizens Bank Park.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Phillies vs Royals: Preview
The game between the Phillies and Royals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 9:05am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals
- Date: Saturday 5 August 2023
- Time: 9:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Philadelphia vs Kansas City are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.
