Phillies vs Royals Prediction and MLB Tips - 13 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 12, 2025, 10:46PM | Published: Sep 11, 2025, 7:31PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Kansas City Royals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, starting at 8:45am AEST.
Walker Buehler (7-7, 5.45 ERA) will be on the bump for the Phillies, pitting him against Michael Lorenzen (5-10, 4.63 ERA) for the Royals.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Royals game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Philadelphia vs Kansas City MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 55% chance of winning against the Royals at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Royals: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.71, Royals $2.20
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.45), Royals +1.5 ($1.59)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.71 and the Royals at $2.20.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Royals, with odds of $2.45 available at TAB.
For the underdog Royals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.59.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Royals (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 62% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Phillies vs Royals: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $2.20 with TAB
- Line: Royals +1.5 at $1.59 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9 at $1.91 with TAB
These Phillies vs Royals predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Royals to win is our recommended option because of the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Phillies vs Royals: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Kansas City game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs Kansas City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Royals: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Royals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 8:45am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals
- Date: Saturday 13 September 2025
- Time: 8:45am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Kansas City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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