Phillies vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 6 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 5, 2025, 1:40PM | Published: Jul 4, 2025, 6:33PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, beginning at 6:05am AEST.
The Phillies will have Ranger Suárez (7-2, 2.00 ERA) start, while the Reds will counter with Nick Lodolo (5-5, 3.52 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Reds game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Philadelphia vs Cincinnati MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 60% chance of defeating the Reds at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Reds: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.59, Reds $2.45
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.25), Reds +1.5 ($1.67)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.59 and the Reds at $2.45.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.25 available at TAB.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.67.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Phillies vs Reds: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cincinnati at $2.45 with TAB
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.67 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Phillies vs Reds betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Reds to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Phillies vs Reds: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Reds: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Reds at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 6:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday 6 July 2025
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Cincinnati predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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