Phillies vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 6 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 5, 2025, 8:05PM | Published: Jul 4, 2025, 6:33PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, beginning at 6:05am AEST.
The Phillies will have Ranger Suárez (7-2, 2.00 ERA) start, while the Reds will counter with Nick Lodolo (5-5, 3.52 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Phillies vs Reds game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Philadelphia vs Cincinnati MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 62% chance of defeating the Reds at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Reds: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.54, Reds $2.55
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.14), Reds +1.5 ($1.74)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.54 and the Reds at $2.55.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.14 available at TAB.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.74.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Phillies vs Reds: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cincinnati at $2.55 with TAB
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.74 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Phillies vs Reds betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Reds to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Phillies vs Reds: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Reds: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Reds at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 6:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday 6 July 2025
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Cincinnati predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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