Phillies vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 4, 2025, 9:25AM | Published: Jul 3, 2025, 5:29PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, commencing at 3:05am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (7-4, 4.06 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, pitting him against Andrew Abbott (7-1, 1.79 ERA) for the Reds.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Reds game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Philadelphia vs Cincinnati MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 59% chance of defeating the Reds at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Reds: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.62, Reds $2.35
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.29), Reds +1.5 ($1.65)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.62 and the Reds at $2.35.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.29 available at TAB.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.65.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Reds (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Phillies vs Reds: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.62 with TAB
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.65 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Phillies vs Reds predictions are based on complex modelling and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Phillies vs Reds: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Reds: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Reds at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 3:05am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Saturday 5 July 2025
- Time: 3:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Cincinnati predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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