Phillies vs Reds Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 4, 2025, 5:05PM | Published: Jul 3, 2025, 5:29PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, beginning at 3:05am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (7-4, 4.06 ERA) will start for the Phillies, while the Reds will counter with Andrew Abbott (7-1, 1.79 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Reds game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Philadelphia vs Cincinnati MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 59% chance of beating the Reds at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Reds: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.67, Reds $2.25
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.40), Reds +1.5 ($1.61)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.67 and the Reds at $2.25.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.40 available at TAB.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.61.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Phillies vs Reds: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $1.67 with TAB
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Phillies vs Reds betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Phillies vs Reds: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Reds: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Reds at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 3:05am AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Saturday 5 July 2025
- Time: 3:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Cincinnati predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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