Phillies vs Reds Prediction and MLB Betting Tips - 9 April 2023
Apr 7, 2023, 7:12PM
The Philadelphia Phillies play the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, commencing at 6:05am AEST.
Bailey Falter (0-1, 3.38 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, while the Reds are going with Nick Lodolo (1-0, 3.60 ERA).
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Phillies vs Reds, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who will win? Phillies vs Reds
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Philadelphia-Cincinnati MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 56% chance of beating the Reds at Citizens Bank Park.
More: Phillies vs Reds Simulated 10,000 Times
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati Betting Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.69, Reds $2.25
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.50), Reds +1.5 ($1.59)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.95, Under $1.87
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Phillies to win at $1.69 and the Reds to win at $2.25.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Reds, with odds of $2.50 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Reds (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.59.
The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 8 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8 runs has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every MLB Game
Phillies vs Reds MLB Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cincinnati at $2.25 with bet365 (1.3% edge)
- Line: Reds +1.5 at $1.59 with bet365 (63% probability)
- Total Runs: Under 8 at $1.87 with bet365 (53% probability)
These Phillies vs Reds best bets are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Reds to win is our preferred option due to the 1.3% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Phillies vs Reds MLB Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Philadelphia vs Cincinnati on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Cincinnati match-up at Citizens Bank Park.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Phillies vs Reds MLB 2023
The game between the Phillies and Reds at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 6:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Sunday 9 April 2023
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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