Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 24 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 23, 2025, 11:09PM | Published: Jul 22, 2025, 6:34PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, beginning at 9:10am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (8-5, 4.29 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, while the Red Sox are going with Lucas Giolito (6-2, 3.59 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Red Sox game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Philadelphia vs Boston MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 59% chance of winning against the Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Red Sox: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.61, Red Sox $2.40
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.35), Red Sox +1.5 ($1.62)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.61 and the Red Sox at $2.40.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.35 available at TAB.
For the underdog Red Sox (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.62.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Phillies vs Red Sox: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Boston at $2.40 with TAB
- Line: Red Sox +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Phillies vs Red Sox betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Red Sox to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Phillies vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Boston game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Boston game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 9:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Thursday 24 July 2025
- Time: 9:10am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Boston predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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