Phillies vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 May 2025
Last updated: May 17, 2025, 10:06PM | Published: May 16, 2025, 6:30PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, commencing at 8:05am AEST.
The Phillies will have Zack Wheeler (4-1, 2.95 ERA) start, while the Pirates will counter with Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3, 5.20 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Pirates game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 71% chance of winning against the Pirates at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Pirates: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.33, Pirates $3.45
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.65), Pirates +1.5 ($2.29)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.33 and the Pirates at $3.45.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $1.65 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.29.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Phillies (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 9-run over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Phillies vs Pirates: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $3.45 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $2.29 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 9 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Phillies vs Pirates betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
And while the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our recommended option because of the 1.2% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Even though the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Pirates +1.5 is based on the likelihood of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Phillies vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Pirates: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Pirates at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 8:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Sunday 18 May 2025
- Time: 8:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.
