Phillies vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 May 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, beginning at 8:45am AEST.

Ranger Suárez (1-0, 5.91 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, up against Andrew Heaney (2-3, 3.15 ERA) for the Pirates.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Pirates game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 67% chance of defeating the Pirates at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Pirates: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:

• Head to Head: Phillies $1.39, Pirates $3.08
• Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.81), Pirates +1.5 ($2.04)
• Total (Over/Under 8.688 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.39 and the Pirates at $3.08.

The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $1.81 available at TAB.

For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.04.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.688 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 8.688-run over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.

Phillies vs Pirates: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $3.08 with TAB
• Line: Pirates +1.5 at $2.04 with TAB
• Total Runs: Under 8.688 at $1.91 with TAB

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.

Today's Phillies vs Pirates predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option because of the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Phillies vs Pirates: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Pirates: Essential Details

The match-up between the Phillies and Pirates at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 8:45am AEST on Saturday.

• Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates
• Date: Saturday 17 May 2025
• Time: 8:45am AEST
• Venue: Citizens Bank Park

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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