Phillies vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 3 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 2, 2025, 12:50PM | Published: Jul 1, 2025, 6:31PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, beginning at 3:05am AEST.
The Phillies will send Mick Abel (2-1, 3.47 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Dylan Cease (3-7, 4.53 ERA) for the Padres.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Padres game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Philadelphia vs San Diego MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Padres a 53% chance of beating the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $2.01, Padres $1.83
- Line: Phillies +1.5 ($1.62), Padres -1.5 ($2.37)
- Total (Over/Under 8.75 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $2.01 and the Padres at $1.83.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Padres, with odds of $1.62 available at TAB.
For the favourite Padres (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.37.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.75 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.75-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Phillies vs Padres: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: San Diego at $1.83 with TAB
- Line: Phillies +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.75 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Phillies vs Padres best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Phillies vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs San Diego game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs San Diego game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Padres: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Padres at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 3:05am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Thursday 3 July 2025
- Time: 3:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs San Diego predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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