Phillies vs Padres Prediction and MLB Tips - 3 July 2025
Last updated: Jul 2, 2025, 5:05PM | Published: Jul 1, 2025, 6:31PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the San Diego Padres in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, commencing at 3:05am AEST.
Mick Abel (2-1, 3.47 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Padres are going with Dylan Cease (3-7, 4.53 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Phillies vs Padres game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Philadelphia vs San Diego MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Padres a 53% chance of defeating the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Padres: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $2.01, Padres $1.83
- Line: Phillies +1.5 ($1.62), Padres -1.5 ($2.37)
- Total (Over/Under 8.75 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $2.01 and the Padres at $1.83.
The Phillies are 1.5-run underdogs against the Padres, with odds of $1.62 available at TAB.
For the favourite Padres (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.37.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.75 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 8.75-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Phillies vs Padres: Best Bets
- Head to Head: San Diego at $1.83 with TAB
- Line: Phillies +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 8.75 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Phillies vs Padres betting tips are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice every time.
Phillies vs Padres: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs San Diego game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs San Diego match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Padres: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Padres at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 3:05am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Thursday 3 July 2025
- Time: 3:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs San Diego predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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