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Phillies vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 August 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, beginning at 8:45am AEST.

Jesús Luzardo (9-5, 4.31 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Orioles will counter with Cade Povich (2-5, 5.15 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Phillies vs Orioles game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Philadelphia vs Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 63% chance of defeating the Orioles at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Orioles: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Phillies $1.49, Orioles $2.70
  • Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.99), Orioles +1.5 ($1.84)
  • Total (Over/Under 9.071 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.49 and the Orioles at $2.70.

The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $1.99 available at TAB.

For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.84.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.071 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 9.071-run over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Phillies vs Orioles: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Baltimore at $2.70 with TAB
  • Line: Orioles +1.5 at $1.84 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 9.071 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Phillies vs Orioles betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Orioles to win is our preferred option because of the 1.3% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.

Phillies vs Orioles: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Baltimore game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Baltimore game.

As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Orioles: Essential Details

The game between the Phillies and Orioles at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 8:45am AEST on Tuesday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Baltimore predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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