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Phillies vs Nationals Prediction and MLB Tips - 24 August 2025

The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, commencing at 8:05am AEST.

Aaron Nola (1-7, 6.92 ERA) will start on the mound for the Phillies, while the Nationals will counter with Mitchell Parker (7-13, 5.83 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Phillies vs Nationals game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Philadelphia vs Washington MLB game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 67% chance of defeating the Nationals at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies vs Nationals: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Phillies $1.38, Nationals $3.10
  • Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.77), Nationals +1.5 ($2.10)
  • Total (Over/Under 10.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.38 and the Nationals at $3.10.

The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Nationals, with odds of $1.77 available at TAB.

For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.10.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Phillies and the Nationals have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 10.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.

Phillies vs Nationals: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Washington at $3.10 with TAB
  • Line: Nationals +1.5 at $2.10 with TAB
  • Total Runs: Under 10.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Our Phillies vs Nationals betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nationals to win is our preferred option due to the 2.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Phillies vs Nationals: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs Washington game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs Washington match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Phillies vs Nationals: Essential Details

The game between the Phillies and Nationals at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 8:05am AEST on Sunday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Philadelphia vs Washington predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures probabilities for the MLB.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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