Phillies vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 22 June 2025
Last updated: Jun 21, 2025, 11:15PM | Published: Jun 20, 2025, 7:31PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, beginning at 9:15am AEST.
Mick Abel (2-0, 2.21 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Mets will counter with Griffin Canning (6-3, 3.80 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Mets game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Philadelphia vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 52% chance of winning against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Mets: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $2.00, Mets $1.83
- Line: Phillies +1.5 ($1.62), Mets -1.5 ($2.35)
- Total (Over/Under 10.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $2.00 and the Mets at $1.83.
The Phillies are 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.62 available at TAB.
For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.35.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 10.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 10.5-run over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Phillies vs Mets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $2.00 with TAB
- Line: Phillies +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Under 10.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Phillies vs Mets betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Phillies to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Phillies vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Philadelphia vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Mets: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to commence at 9:15am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Sunday 22 June 2025
- Time: 9:15am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs NY Mets predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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