Phillies vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 20 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 19, 2026, 5:35PM | Published: Jul 18, 2026, 5:31PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Monday, starting at 3:35am AEST.
Alan Rangel (0-2, 4.19 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Mets will counter with Nolan McLean (6-6, 3.52 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Mets game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Philadelphia vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Mets a 54% chance of defeating the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Mets: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $2.10, Mets $1.77
- Line: Phillies +1.5 ($1.67), Mets -1.5 ($2.25)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $2.10 and the Mets at $1.77.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Mets, with odds of $1.67 available at TAB.
For the favourite Mets (-1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $2.25.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Phillies (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 58% of the time.
Phillies vs Mets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Philadelphia at $2.10 with TAB
- Line: Mets -1.5 at $2.25 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Phillies vs Mets predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
And while the Mets have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Phillies to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Although the Phillies are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mets -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Phillies vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Mets: Essential Details
The match-up between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 3:35am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Monday 20 July 2026
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs NY Mets predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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