Phillies vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 19 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 18, 2026, 4:56PM | Published: Jul 17, 2026, 5:34PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, starting at 5:05am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (8-4, 3.51 ERA) will start for the Phillies, pitting him against Sean Manaea (2-4, 4.56 ERA) for the Mets.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Mets game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Philadelphia vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 58% chance of defeating the Mets at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.56, Mets $2.50
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.14), Mets +1.5 ($1.74)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.56 and the Mets at $2.50.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.14 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.74.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Phillies vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.50 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.74 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Phillies vs Mets betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option due to the 3.9% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Phillies vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 5:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Sunday 19 July 2026
- Time: 5:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs NY Mets predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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