Phillies vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 17 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 16, 2026, 10:10PM | Published: Jul 16, 2026, 12:32AM
The Philadelphia Phillies will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, starting at 8:10am AEST.
Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.75 ERA) will be on the bump for the Phillies, pitting him against Christian Scott (2-1, 3.17 ERA) for the Mets.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Phillies vs Mets game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Philadelphia vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Mets a 51% chance of winning against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.80, Mets $2.05
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.54), Mets +1.5 ($1.54)
- Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.80 and the Mets at $2.05.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.54 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.54.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 66% of the time, while the 9.5-run over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Phillies vs Mets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.05 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.54 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
These Phillies vs Mets betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Phillies vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Philadelphia vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 8:10am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Friday 17 July 2026
- Time: 8:10am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs NY Mets predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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