Phillies vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 12 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 11, 2025, 11:15PM | Published: Sep 10, 2025, 7:29PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, starting at 9:15am AEST.
Jesús Luzardo (13-6, 4.01 ERA) will start for the Phillies, up against David Peterson (9-5, 3.72 ERA) for the Mets.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Mets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Philadelphia vs NY Mets MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 52% chance of winning against the Mets at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown here:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.77, Mets $2.10
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.60), Mets +1.5 ($1.53)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.77 and the Mets at $2.10.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.60 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.53.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 65% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Phillies vs Mets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.10 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
These Phillies vs Mets best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option because of the 2.1% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Phillies vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 9:15am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Friday 12 September 2025
- Time: 9:15am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs NY Mets predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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