Phillies vs Mets Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 10, 2025, 10:46PM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 8:32PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, beginning at 8:45am AEST.
The Phillies will have Cristopher Sánchez (12-5, 2.60 ERA) start, while the Mets are going with Clay Holmes (11-7, 3.61 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Phillies vs Mets game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Philadelphia vs NY Mets MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Phillies a 57% chance of winning against the Mets at Citizens Bank Park.
Phillies vs Mets: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are shown below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.63, Mets $2.33
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($2.37), Mets +1.5 ($1.61)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Phillies at $1.63 and the Mets at $2.33.
The Phillies are 1.5-run favourites against the Mets, with odds of $2.37 available at TAB.
For the underdog Mets (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.61.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mets (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Phillies vs Mets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Mets at $2.33 with TAB
- Line: Mets +1.5 at $1.61 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Our Phillies vs Mets betting tips are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mets to win is our preferred option because of the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Phillies vs Mets: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Philadelphia vs NY Mets game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs NY Mets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Phillies vs Mets: Essential Details
The game between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 8:45am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
- Date: Thursday 11 September 2025
- Time: 8:45am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Philadelphia vs NY Mets predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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