Phillies vs Marlins Prediction and MLB Tips - 30 June 2024
Last updated: Jun 29, 2024, 7:45PM | Published: Jun 28, 2024, 6:57PM
The Philadelphia Phillies will sqaure off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, starting at 6:05am AEST.
The Phillies will have Aaron Nola (9-3, 3.39 ERA) start, pitting him against Roddery Muñoz (1-3, 5.80 ERA) for the Marlins.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Phillies vs Marlins game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Phillies vs Marlins
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Philadelphia-Miami MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Phillies a 66% chance of defeating the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
More: Phillies vs Marlins Match Centre
Phillies vs Marlins: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's MLB game at Citizens Bank Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Phillies $1.36, Marlins $3.05
- Line: Phillies -1.5 ($1.75), Marlins +1.5 ($2.04)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Phillies at $1.36 and the Marlins at $3.05.
The Phillies are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Marlins, with odds of $1.75 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Marlins (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $2.04.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.91 and odds for the under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookies have got it right and both the Phillies and the Marlins have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Phillies vs Marlins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $3.05 with (2.6% edge)
- Line: Marlins +1.5 at $2.04 with TAB (50% probability)
- Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Phillies vs Marlins best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Phillies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Marlins to win is our recommended option due to the 2.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.
Phillies vs Marlins: Prediction
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Philadelphia vs Miami on Sunday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Philadelphia vs Miami match-up at Citizens Bank Park.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Phillies vs Marlins: Preview
The game between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:05am AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Sunday 30 June 2024
- Time: 6:05am AEST
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Philadelphia vs Miami predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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